FC Dallas host Austin FC at Toyota Stadium — 01:30 BST Sunday morning, 8:30 PM ET on Saturday. The pack has one supported attacking line here, and it sits with the away side.
Player-level lines only: MLS carries no match-result price on the data pack, so none is quoted. Every figure below is from the captured data pack.
Team news and context
Allen Chapman is the appointment. The capture produced shot grids for both squads but no lineup, injury or availability detail — none is claimed.
It is a late-evening kickoff in the US, which leaves the market a full day to move after this capture. The day-of re-verify patches a line or a price that has swung by 0.10 or more.
The data angle
Uzuni cleared 2.5 shots in 8 of the 12 rendered games — 67% — against a 2.00 price implying 50%. Eleven of those 12 games cleared the 1.5 line, so the lower thresholds are effectively done; the question is whether the 2.5 line is reached.
Season and last-20 averages both sit above the line (3.00 and 2.93) from an 88-minute workload, which is what makes it a genuine read rather than a fluke percentage: the volume is there in the underlying numbers too.
The pack's other Austin/Dallas lines are not supported. Musa over 4.5 at 1.91 was cleared twice in 12 rendered games, and that line sits far above his output — avoid it. Vázquez over 2.5 at 1.83 cleared 3 of 10.
Risk and variance
Twelve rendered games, and a road game state is the swing factor: an Austin side chasing the game shoots more, one defending a lead shoots less. Both are live here.
At even money, a blank is a coin-flip outcome rather than a surprise. Keep the stake small and flat, and treat the rate as a probability, never a promise.
Verdict
Value lean: Uzuni over 2.5 shots at 2.00 — cleared in 8 of 12 rendered games (67%) with season and last-20 averages both above the line, against a price implying 50%. A 12-game window on an away side, so stake small and flat.
Probability lean, not a promise. Prices move — the figure quoted is the one captured and re-verified for this fixture.
