Real Salt Lake host Vancouver Whitecaps at Rio Tinto Stadium — 02:30 BST Sunday, 9:30 PM ET Saturday. On this capture every attacking line in the fixture is priced above the rate its owner has actually hit.
The numbers below are the captured ones. Player-level lines only — MLS carries no match-result price on the data pack, and none is quoted.
Team news and context
Guido Gonzales Jr takes the fixture, which kicks off in the small hours of Sunday UK time. The capture carried shot grids for both squads and the appointments; lineups, injuries and table position were not part of it.
Vancouver's away shot volumes were thin at capture, which limits the away-side reads, and nothing of that kind is filled in from assumption.
The data angle
Solans is the best season-average shooter in the fixture at 2.57 shots per game, but he cleared the 2.5 line in 7 of 15 rendered games — 47% — and cleared 1.5 in 10 of those 15, from an 80-minute role. The price, 1.67, implies about 60%.
That is a volume lean on the fixture's most willing shooter, and nothing more. It is the clearest single line the capture offers here, which says as much about the rest of the board as it does about Solans.
Every alternative is worse on the evidence: White over 3.5 at 1.80 was cleared 4 times in 12, Gauld over 3.5 at 2.00 three times in 10, Sabbi over 2.5 at 1.73 three times in 10. The strongest rate in the fixture is a defender's 0.5 line — Blackmon at 1.83, 12 of 12 — but a 12-of-12 run on a low line is a low-reward read and a small sample of its own.
Risk and variance
This is the lowest-confidence fixture of the ten in the pack, and the write-up treats it that way. A 47% line at a 60% price is negative in expectation, so the honest options are to pass or to stake the minimum.
No fixture in this slate carries a promised outcome, and this one least of all. Flat, small stakes only.
Verdict
Flagged, low-confidence: Solans over 2.5 shots at 1.67 is a volume lean on the fixture's best season-average shooter, but he cleared the line in only 7 of 15 rendered games (47%) against a price implying 60%. No measured edge — pass or stake the minimum.
Probability lean, not a promise. Prices move — the figure quoted is the one captured and re-verified for this fixture.
